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Scott Pecoriello

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After several weeks of inundating rain and flooding across the Northeast region from a southerly tropical flow, another round of heavy rain is on its way for this weekend and early next week. While we won’t have a massive surge of tropical air, we will have a weak disturbance slowly move through, meandering across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. This will lead to several days of nasty weather, including heavy rain and scattered thunderstorms, which will give way to additional flash flooding and saturated grounds due to a very wet last few weeks. Our weak disturbance will begin to gather over Kentucky tomorrow, before expanding out with more showers and storms Friday night and early Saturday. This will bring the first round of showers to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. By Sunday, the majority of the region will be dealing with pockets of showers, storms, and heavy rain. The worst of the…

It’s no secret that the 2018 hurricane season hasn’t been all that active thus far. With 3 named storms, one of which was sub-tropical, no impact on the United States coastline, and nothing but dying tropical storm Debby in the northern Atlantic, one has to wonder what the rest of the hurricane season will bring. Hopefully we can provide some answers for you. The average peak of hurricane season is exactly a month from this week (typically the middle of September is when we see the most activity), so there’s certainly time for things to pickup. However, for the time being we aren’t seeing very strong signs of an increase in activity. That being said, as we look ahead in time towards the longer range, we do believe that we’ll begin to see an uptick across at least part of the Atlantic Basin. Let’s take a look at the basics.…

The last two weeks of weather in the Northeast have been rather stagnant, with a tropical airmass from the Deep South bringing rounds of heavy rain, flooding, severe storms and extreme heat to the region. While that pattern has finally come to an end, we’ll still be dealing with the heat and severe weather side of things for the next 48 hours. Already this morning we’re watching a broken line of scattered showers mixed with pockets of heavier rain and lightning across the US/Canadian border. As this line crashes southeastward, a rather ripe and unstable atmosphere will allow for isolated severe storms to form. The most recent mesoscale, short-range guidance is all pointing towards a similar story this afternoon, centered around scattered, severe storms forming mainly after 1 PM. A broken line of storms will be the main area we want to keep an eye on, but we’ll likely see…