The western Southern Plains have been very dry during meteorological winter and that trend continues through at least the start of March. With gustier winds in place and low humidity, that will aid in the risk for brush fires in this region. A severe to extreme drought plagues much of the region where the risk for brush fires Sunday and Monday happens to exist. The main reason for this drought is how dry it has been. Check out the precipitation anomalies for the month of January on this map below:
There is a critical to extreme risk for brush fires on Sunday across southern and eastern New Mexico, eastern Colorado, extreme-southwestern Nebraska, western Kansas, the Oklahoma Panhandle, and western Texas. The fire threat will become confined to much of Kansas and portions of Oklahoma and Colorado on Monday and Tuesday as conditions improve somewhat across the region.