The National Hurricane Center has highlighted an area to watch earlier this week off the East Coast of the United States, between the coast and Bermuda, for potential tropical cyclone development. Those chances peaked on Wednesday but since then the chance is dropping, and now the forecasters at the hurricane center now give this area of disturbed weather a 40 percent chance of tropical development within the next five days.
Now while a tropical depression or storm may form by the start of next week of the coast, direct impacts are very unlikely. This is thanks to a cold front moving off the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic coasts this weekend, which will keep this storm several hundred miles offshore and eventually will displace it to the north and east. On Saturday or Sunday, we’ll start to see a broad area of low pressure form ahead of this front. If it organizes further and transforms into a more consolidated system, then a tropical cyclone will likely form, and may even receive the name, Beryl.
Despite this, there will be some indirect impacts. That includes enhanced surf and the risk for rip currents. These risks will ramp up Sunday into Monday, which is the best window for a weak tropical cyclone to form. Waves may top off or exceed 10 feet along some of the Mid-Atlantic coasts. On some beaches, the rip current risk will become high by the early-next week thanks to the onshore flow.
The main advice we have is to not worry about this potential storm. Just be cautious if you head into the ocean this weekend and into the first half of next week.