Wet weather is finally returning to the South, and it is definitely needed. There is a widespread drought affecting a large majority of the South, especially in Arkansas, where about half of the state is experiencing an extreme drought due to the lack of rain during the fall season. In Little Rock, rainfall is over seven inches below average year-to-date.

Drought Monitor

On Tuesday, an area of low pressure will begin to develop over Texas, bringing a more organized and widespread rain. A light to moderate rain will form over central and eastern Texas Tuesday morning, also affecting northern Louisiana, southern Arkansas, western Tennessee, northern Mississippi, and Alabama. Showers will also be around along the Gulf Coast, from Texas through the Panhandle of Florida. Then in the afternoon on Tuesday, rain will increase in intensity in the ArkLaTex region while overspreading into the rest of Tennessee. Rain will also creep into northern Georgia. There is also the marginal chance for severe thunderstorms in eastern Texas. Therefore, damaging winds and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.

Rain will become heavy Tuesday night, possibly right over the worst areas of Arkansas that have suffered the worst drought This is excellent news, as rain is much needed. Rain will gradually clear out of Texas as the storm moves east overnight, bringing steady precipitation to western Louisiana. Rain showers will also creep into portions of the Carolinas.

Rainfall Forecast

On Wednesday, the storm will continue to track east toward the Southeast. The rain will clear out of Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi in the morning and move into the Carolinas, southern Virginia, and northern Georgia. The rain will continue across Tennessee, southern Kentucky, and Alabama through Wednesday morning.

The rain will begin to wind down Wednesday night, with scattered showers still continuing across portions of the Southeast. By Thursday morning the region will dry out as the storm moves off the coast. Later in the week, beginning Thursday night or Friday morning, a new developing storm from the Rockies will lead to the development of a new swath of rain ahead of a cold front.


Jackson is Head of Content at WeatherOptics and produces several forecasts and manages all social media platforms. Previously, Jackson forecasted local weather for southwestern Connecticut, founding his website, Jackson's Weather, in the March of 2015. He is currently studying Meteorology and Broadcast Journalism at the University of Miami.

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