No surprise: another active week of weather is ahead this coming week, including the threat for yet another nor’easter. Every week this March, there has been a nor’easter that has impacted the Northeast, but could there be a fourth? We explain below. We’re also tracking a tornado outbreak in the Southeast on Monday and severe weather in Florida on Tuesday, an atmospheric river event midweek for California, and a potential weekend snowstorm for the Northern Tier.

Fourth March Nor’easter

The model guidance continues to struggle on what will likely be another nor’easter that develops off the Mid-Atlantic coast on Tuesday. This nor’easter will be different than the previous ones this month in which it will be more impactful to the Mid-Atlantic opposed to New England. The track of this storm is still a bit uncertain, so if this storm happens to track a bit to the north than what is currently forecast, then Southern New England may receive snow. Where snow and accumulating snow is currently expected on Tuesday is along and near the Mason-Dixon Line. This includes cities like Washington, D.C., Baltimore, and Philadelphia. Could significant snow be possible? Yes, but based on the time of the year, it will be hard for significant snowfall accumulations in the urban areas. These cities are only expected to receive up to two to three inches of snow, although that it significant for Washington, D.C., a city that has only received 3.7 inches of snow, which is 11.5 inches below average season-to-date.

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Tornado Outbreak

The first possible tornado and severe weather outbreak across the Southeast happens to coincide with the beginning of spring on Tuesday as well as the climatologically favorable region for severe storms this time of the year. Severe storms will several tornadoes are expected to impact much of the Southeast Monday into Monday night, then that risk will move to the south and will impact much of Florida on Tuesday.

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Atmospheric River

California has finally gotten into a more active weather pattern this March, and another substantial weather system will move in midweek, slamming the entire West Coast. Unfortunately, there are some downsides to the much-needed rain and snow headed to the Golden State, which includes flooding and landslides in the burn scar areas. This storm will impact the West Coast region Wednesday through Thursday night, dumping up to five feet of additional snowfall and up to three to four inches to portions of the lower-elevations of Southern California.

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Weekend Snowstorm

The same storm slamming the West Coast midweek will be responsible for a likely snowstorm across portions of the Northern Tier of the US this weekend. The trough of low pressure associated with the West Coast storm will lead to the development of a Colorado Low. This storm system will then track through the Central Plains and toward the Ohio Valley while dropping heavy snow from the Dakotas through the Great Lakes region, including Chicago potentially, and possibly all the way into the Northeast. There’s plenty of time to track this next storm system, which could impact most of the country with either rain, snow, or severe weather.

Stay tuned for this story.



Author

Jackson is Head of Content at WeatherOptics and produces several forecasts and manages all social media platforms. Previously, Jackson forecasted local weather for southwestern Connecticut, founding his website, Jackson's Weather, in the March of 2015. He is currently studying Meteorology and Broadcast Journalism as the University of Miami.

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