A warm(er) and quiet(er) week of weather is in store for the nation but we’ll still be tracking a couple storms, one of which may bring severe weather to Texas while another delivers snow to the upper Midwest.

Here’s your 5 Things to Watch for this week.

Northern Tier Showers:

A disturbance will move across the Northern Tier of the US early- to mid- week, bringing a round of light rain showers and thunderstorms to the already-rain-soaked region. Rainfall totals will be generally less than 1 inch, but it will keep rivers and streams at higher-than normal level. These showers will move from the northern Plains and upper Midwest on Monday to the Northeast by Tuesday night into Wednesday. This comes after New England already gets soaked with rain as a weak storm system brings rain to the region today into tonight.

Texas Severe Storms:

Severe storms will threaten parts of Texas this week. The best risk for strong, intense storms on Monday into Monday night will be focused over the Panhandle. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats, but a tornado cannot be ruled out. By midweek, the threat will drift to the south and east, becoming centered over central Texas on Tuesday and coastal Texas by Wednesday. However, we do not anticipate the same type of severe weather outbreak which has occurred across parts of the US these past two weeks.

Eastern Rain Late-Week:

A low pressure over the Southern Tier, which will be the trigger of the severe weather across Texas, will team up with a disturbance, delivering some wet weather across the East late-week. Showers and storms will become more commonplace as the weekend approaches. On Thursday, wet times are in the forecast from the Ohio River Valley through the Lower Mississippi River Valley. Then on Friday those showers will reach the East Coast, but the Mid-Atlantic will stay mainly dry as the two energy centers move farther apart. The southern piece of energy will bring storms to Florida on Saturday.

ECMWF forecast precipitation Friday

Warm Week:

A warm week of weather is in store for the country overall. Storms over Texas will keep the state and surrounding areas cool early- to mid- week, while the remainder of the US can expected above average temperatures for the most part. Widespread highs of 5-20+ degrees above normal is expected for the foreseeable future, meaning that actual temperatures will be in the 60s, 70s, and 80s for many.

Forecast high temperature departures from average Sunday

More Snow?

The models are hinting at some signals for another risk for snow across parts of the upper Midwest. It’s too early to speculate the details now, but there is the chance, especially from North Dakota through the Upper Peninsula of Michigan around this coming weekend. This region of the country is also expected to stay cool this week, helping the chances for snow.


Jackson is Head of Content at WeatherOptics and produces several forecasts and manages all social media platforms. Previously, Jackson forecasted local weather for southwestern Connecticut, founding his website, Jackson's Weather, in the March of 2015. He is currently studying Meteorology and Broadcast Journalism at the University of Miami.

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