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A constant flow of tropical moisture will usher in another couple days of showers and thunderstorms across much of the Southeast. There won’t be much of a storm system responsible for this rain, although there will be a slowly-deepening upper-level low over the northern Gulf Coast that will enhance the rain and make it more widespread. This will also pull in more deep moisture from the Caribbean Sea. For midweek, it will be more of the low instability and mild temperatures that will drive the precipitation. It’s not until the weekend when a tropical or subtropical cyclone moves onshore and brings a solid few days of widespread rain. On Thursday, the day will be quite similar, although there will be an uptick in the aerial coverage of the precipitation. In the morning, a few spotty storms will be found across the southeastern US. It’s not until the afternoon when storms…

The risk for severe weather will ramp up Wednesday through at least Friday across the portions of the Plains and Midwest as a new storm system comes in from the Rocky Mountains. This storm has formed due to a weakening upper-level low that has moved into the Southwest. In terms of Wednesday’s forecast, a spinning low pressure over the northern Rockies will spawn the development of scattered and severe thunderstorms across the Great Plains. These storms will rapidly form during the mid to late-afternoon hours along a cold front. The best chance for severe storms will be in southwestern South Dakota, northwestern Nebraska, and southeastern Wyoming. The tornado risk is very low, but damaging winds and large hail will be possible in a few locations. Into the overnight hours, these scattered strong storms will move northeast. They will then weaken due to the loss of daytime heating early-Thursday morning. Now…

There’s a lot of different terms we’ll be using in this year’s discussion regarding the upcoming hurricane season, so we would like to clarify a few of them. Some of these definitions below come right from the National Hurricane Center’s glossary. Advisory: The National Hurricane Center generally issues an advisory on tropical cyclones every six hours, or every three hours if there are any watches are warnings in effect for the region. According to the National Hurricane Center, advisories contain “official information issued by tropical cyclone warning centers describing all tropical cyclone watches and warnings in effect along with details concerning tropical cyclone locations, intensity and movement, and precautions that should be taken. Advisories are also issued to describe: (a) tropical cyclones prior to issuance of watches and warnings and (b) subtropical cyclones.” Eye: The roughly circular area of comparatively light winds that encompasses the center of a severe tropical…