As a disturbance develops over the South and a cold front ushers in freezing air from the north, the set up is prime for the development of some freezing rain across portions of the South Sunday into Monday. Freezing rain is always difficult to forecast because the conditions have to be perfect for it to happen.

Starting early Sunday morning, rain showers will break out from eastern Texas through southern Mississippi. At the same time to the north where the air is colder, snow showers may develop across portions of Oklahoma and back into the Texas Panhandle.  This snow will only last for a few hours, so up to a coating of snow is expected for most areas–Maybe localized areas get away with up to one inch of snowfall. Then throughout the day, those snow showers will move to the south into central Texas as the cold air dives southward with the precipitation. Meanwhile to the east, a very light freezing rain may begin to develop from the Arkansas/Louisiana border through central Mississippi in the wee hours of Sunday morning. During the latter half of the morning, the freezing rain will become a bit more disorganized and spotty for similar locations. Heading into the afternoon hours, most of the precipitation will be south of the freezing line, but a freezing drizzle cannot be ruled out from central Alabama into west-central Georgia. Otherwise, there will be plain rain showers where the air is warmer along the Gulf Coast from southeastern Louisiana through southern Georgia. Showers will also continue across central and southern Texas while eastern Texas through much of Louisiana and Mississippi dry out. Then overnight, rain showers will continue across portions of the Gulf Coast while a small area of freezing rain possibly breaks out near the Big Bend of Texas. This is the area where the freezing rain looks to be the most stubborn, and it may last through much of Monday for the same areas. All of the precipitation will then dissipate by Monday evening as this disturbance winds down.

Based on this forecast, our map below highlights where freezing rain is possible or likely and where other locations will solely experience rain or snow.

Author

Jackson is COO and Head of Content and Strategy of WeatherOptics. He also designed his own website and created the local company, Jackson's Weather. He has been forecasting the weather for southwestern Connecticut since March of 2015. He is currently a senior in high school and will major in Meteorology and Broadcast Journalism at the University of Miami in Fall 2018.

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